Profitable Trading Setups: Learn to Trade Smart

Holiday trading weeks often disrupt the usual flow of the market, introducing lighter volume and unexpected shifts. But even in these quieter conditions, opportunities abound if you know where to look. The key is to adapt, stay focused, and maintain discipline, allowing the market to come to you rather than chasing trades.

One of the biggest mistakes traders make during holiday weeks is overtrading. The temptation to force trades or jump into setups without proper confirmation can lead to unnecessary slippage and poor decision-making. Instead, it’s crucial to exercise patience and wait for the perfect confluence of factors before pulling the trigger.

Confluence is the cornerstone of high-probability trading. It occurs when multiple technical and contextual signals align to confirm a trade’s validity. For instance, a trade might align with support or resistance levels, coincide with a key moving average, and show momentum on higher timeframes. This convergence increases the likelihood of success and helps you filter out lower-quality setups.

Focusing only on the highest-probability trades increases your chances of success and limits risk. Fewer trades mean fewer opportunities for error, which is particularly important when liquidity is thinner than usual.

Today’s strategy session demonstrated how this approach works in real time. The first video focused on identifying actionable setups at 2:15 PM ET. The second video showed how those setups unfolded, with strategies that delivered profits—even against light holiday trading.

Here’s what you’ll find in the replay:

1️⃣ Part One: At 2:15 PM ET, I broke down the setups I was tracking, walking you through the key patterns and opportunities the market was offering—even during light holiday trading conditions.

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2️⃣ Part Two: I followed up with a detailed analysis of how those setups played out in real-time. You’ll see how the strategies delivered profits, demonstrating the power of disciplined execution in any market environment.

The lesson is clear: trading during holiday weeks requires a disciplined, focused approach. Don’t let market conditions or emotions dictate your actions. Instead, wait for the market to present ideal opportunities, trade them confidently, and walk away knowing you’ve made calculated intentional decisions.

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Good Trading,

Adrian Manz