As that old The Gambler song says, “You got to know when to hold ‘em, know when to fold ‘em, know when to walk away, know when to run.  You never count you money when you’re sittin’ at table.  There’ll be time enough for countin’ when the dealin’s done…”

I may not be a country fan.  But that’s just perfect right there.

Calling for the Dow to bounce well off its 200-day moving average was child’s play.  The set-up happened three times in a row and did the same thing each time.

These days, though, things are a bit rough.

While we’ve had an amazing portfolio since December 2013, we did run into some losses.  But we hold everything at the moment.

While we hold all open positions with key catalysts, we have to still be very cautious, as we’ve been warning.  And that’s because the Fed is meeting this week.  Any hint of rising interest rates could send a chill down the spine of every investor, killing the rally almost instantly.

Of the new trades we’ve uncovered, each of these should do well with patience.  Each is over-extended, falling too much, too soon.

Buy one.  Buy them all them all. If you choose not to buy all four of these trades, don’t worry. It’s completely up to you.  We’ll have many more trades on the way.  We wanted to issue an immediate basket of trades.

New trading ideas include:

  • Cree (CREE) is part of a significant LED growth story.  It’s unfairly oversold on Williams % Range, for example. We’re recommending that you buy to open the CREE December 2014 42.50 calls up to $3.
  • Owens Corning (OC) is sitting at double bottom support with oversold RSI.  We’re recommending that you buy to open the OC January 2015 34 calls up to $2.25.
  • Vale SA (VALE) sits at triple bottom support with oversold MACD, and MFI.  We’re recommending that you buy to open the December 2014 12 calls up to $1.50.
  • McDermott (MDR) sits at its lower Bollinger Band with oversold Williams % Range and MACD.  We’re simply looking to jump in and out of this trade on the next bounce off oversold conditions.  We’re recommending that you buy to open the MDR January 2015 6 calls up to $1.

We’ll talk again shortly.  Thanks for sticking with us, even as the market loses whatever is left of its mind.

If you have questions or comments, please feel free to reach us any time.