Hedging Mattel (MAT)

“Ian, thanks for the service. Sorry you broke your wrist. Speedy recovery. Can I get your thoughts on Mattel? What’s the best way to trade it here?” Thanks for the kind words. Mattel is a bit of a mess at the moment. Its CEO just stepped down, as the company...

Opening Call Positions in KB Homes (KBH)

I’m not a housing bull. I’ve been bearish on the sector since 2008. I still don’t believe there’s a recovery because one wouldn’t make sense without exemplary employment growth and wage growth. Recent earnings and margin pressures at KB Home and Lennar aren’t...

Closing P66 Positions +7.4% Opening P67 Positions

On Friday January 23, 2014 we will close positions that were opened on December 26, 2014 for a 7.4% gain. Those positions are as follows: Ticker Return % Start Price End Price ANW 6.1 13.21 14.01 MUSA 4.1 67.28 70.06 TLYS 49.3 9.43 14.08 JAKK -9.5 6.82 6.17 OMI 0 35.4...

Exiting Silver Call… Opening Hedge

On January 9, 2015, I recommended a buy on the SLV January 2016 15 call as it traded at $2.25. Today, it’s up to $3.40. Consider selling to close this call to secure gains. Now I want you to consider opening a hedge on silver. The gold-silver ratio tells me silver is...

Weekly Portfolio Update

Please join us this Friday, January 23, 2015 at 12 EST for the latest Forgotten Profits webinar. Over the last week, I opened a position in Finish Line (FINL) with a May 25 call at a price of $1.65. It currently trades at $1.45. I see no reason to exit. After testing...

Weekly Portfolio Update and a Couple of Exits

Please join us this Friday, January 23, 2015 at 1 p.m. EST for our latest Inside Value Trader webinar. Over the last week, I opened new positions in the Lennar May 45 put and Pulte Group April 21 put. Shortly after, I recommended exiting half of each for gains as both...

Exiting Half of LEN and PHM Puts

On January 13, I recommended a buy on the Lennar (LEN) May 45 put and the Pulte Group (PHM) April 21 put because the bulls sent builders up too much too soon on nothing more than hope. As usual, though, the bulls weren’t paying attention. There is no recovery in...

[Trade Alert] The Natural Gas Trade

If you bought the UNG April 14 call, as it pulled back under our buy range, consider selling to close half of the position for gains. The underlying UNG ETF is up 85 cents on the day. If you instead bought the UNG April 14 put on our error in the January 7th email...

Buying to Open Put Positions on LEN and PHM

There are a few open positions at the moment in Inside Value Trader. While all remain on hold, I am recommending some new put positions if you have room. There is no recovery in housing. There is no reason to get excited about the sector. Even though homebuilder...

Exiting Activision (ATVI) February 20 Put

While holding all other positions, consider closing the second half of the Activision (ATVI) February 20 put for gains. The stock has pulled back nicely after failing at $22 double top resistance. Also, shortly after recommending a buy on the Finish Line (FINL) May 25...