Forgotten Profits Trade Setup Archive

Below you'll find Ian's setups stacked up and ordered chronologically. As this service once resided at another home, the alerts only go back to mid July. For a full track record, see the portfolio.

Trade Idea | March 30, 2017 | AMZN

Jeff Bezos just past Warren Buffett as second richest man…likely signals over exuberance in Amazon (AMZN) . Let’s sell an out of the money call spread to position in a guardedly bearish fashion.

TRADE IDEA

Sell AMZN April 900 calls

Buy AMZN April 905 calls 

For a 90 cent net credit

These expire 4/21/17

 

 

 

Position Update | February 19, 2017 | TGT

Our original trade idea below:


TRADE IDEA

Buy to open TGT Feb $60 puts and sell to open TGT Feb $62.50 puts for a 60 cents net credit. 

These are the traditional monthly options that expire 2/17/17.


Expired worthless and we were able to keep the initial 60 cents net credit ($60 per spread) for a 31.5% overall gain on the trade.

Look for more new trades coming this week.

Trade Idea | February 15, 2017 | GS

The market continues to defy logic and continues to rally unabated…for now.

Financials have been the biggest culprits, with nearly every one at all time highs.

Today, however, the rally is at least slowing. let’s jump in and take a counter trend bearish position in Goldman Sachs.

TRADE IDEA

Buy to open GS March 250 puts @ 5.55

These expire 3/17/17

Trade Idea | January 24, 2017 | TGT

Shares of TGT are beginning to look attractive on both a valuation and dividend yield basis following a sharp sell-off post lowered guidance. 

 Let’s position for a a consolidation with a bull put spread.

 TRADE IDEA

 Buy to open TGT Feb $60 puts and sell to open TGT Feb $62.50 puts for a 60 cents net credit. 

 These are the traditional monthly options that expire 2/17/17.

Tim Biggam
Trader Insight

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Trade Idea | November 18, 2016 | CAT

Caterpillar (CAT) is finally heading our way..let’s close out for a nice 20% gain.

 

CLOSE OUT

Buy to close CAT November 90 puts (expire 11/18/16)

Sell to close CAT December 92.50 puts (expire 12/16/16)

2.60 net credit

 

Trade Idea | November 10, 2016 | CAT

Caterpillar (CAT) is approaching overbought levels rarely seen, along with implied volatility readings in the lower 10% percentile. I like this combination of expensive stock and cheap options, so let’s jump in and take a short term counter-trend bearish put diagonal position.

 

TRADE IDEA

Buy to open CAT December 92.50 puts (expire 12/16/16)

Sell to open CAT November 90 puts (expire 11/18/16)

2.15 net debit

Trade Alert | NUGT | October 4, 2016

Gold and Gold stocks are getting crushed…perhaps too crushed. Bearish sentiment is off the charts.

 

Let’s try a short term levered counter trend play using a 3x levered fund NUGT.

 

TRADE IDEA

Buy to open NUGT Oct 14 calls (expire 10/14/16) 

1.65 debit

 

These are the weekly options that expire next Friday.

Trade Idea | September 9, 2016 | SPY

S&P 500 is sinking hard..let’s grab out gains on the puts

 

CLOSE OUT

Sell to close all the SPY September 219 puts @3.30 or better

These expire 9/16/16

Trade Idea | September 2, 2016 | SPY

Markets are rejoicing over a lower than expected jobs number, with the S&P 500 approaching all time highs again. VIX back to the 12 level, so options are cheap and complacency high.

Let’s take a counter trend position with some SPY puts.. makes probabilistic sense to me. Lose a little versus make a lot on a 50/50 coin flip.

 

TRADE IDEA

Buy to open SPY September 219 puts @ 2.20

These expire 9/16/16