Daily Market Insights
Today's War Room Trading Recap
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Trading Recap Focus Video
Opening Gap Trade on WLY
In this trade breakdown, Adrian walks through a textbook opening gap setup on Wiley (WLY), one of four gap trades executed in the War Room that morning. The stock gapped higher on earnings and set up a classic 1-2-3-4-5 pullback pattern. Adrian explains how to identify key inflection points, set a tight stop just above the high of the pattern, and use the first bar’s close as a precise target. This trade moved from entry to target in under five minutes, showcasing how effective the setup can be when executed with discipline. A great reminder to keep an eye out for these early morning reversals throughout the week.
Market Highlights
Today's Trading Recap
📉 U.S. Markets Overview
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Major indexes closed sharply lower on mounting geopolitical tensions. The Dow dropped about 0.7%, the S&P 500 fell 0.8% (back below the 6,000 mark), and the Nasdaq declined roughly 0.9%
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Investor anxiety surged as the Israel-Iran conflict intensified and President Trump abruptly left the G7 summit amid warnings to Iran.
📊 Market Drivers
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Oil prices jumped 3–4%, with WTI climbing near $74–75/barrel, reflecting fears over potential supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz
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Treasury yields fell (10-year around 4.4%) as investors sought safe havens.
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The VIX “fear gauge” spiked over 10–13%, marking its highest close since late May .
💸 Macro and Sector Highlights
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May U.S. retail sales were weak, with a fall of around 0.8–0.9%, suggesting cooling consumer strength .
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Energy stocks outperformed, buoyed by rising oil prices, while solar and tech lagged amid risk-off sentiment .
🧭 Other Themes
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Circle Internet (CRCL) stock continued its moonshot post-IPO, climbing back toward $156.
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Markets are also bracing for the Federal Reserve’s two‑day policy meeting, with no rate cut expected but heightened attention on projections for the rest of 2025.
🔍 Summary Takeaway
Global uncertainty—driven by war fears and slowing consumer spending—put U.S. markets on the defensive today. Energy surged while safety trades dominated, leaving growth-sensitive sectors lagging. All eyes now turn to Wednesday’s Fed meeting for further signals.
Today's War Room Opportunities
June 17, 2025
| Plan | Symbol | Position | Entry | Stop | Target | Exit | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manz AAPL-A-Day | AAPL | Long | 197.04 | 196.5 | 197.89 | 197.89 | 0.85 |
| Manz 2SD Gapz | MMYT | Long | 90.00 | 89.00 | 91.52 | 91.52 | 1.52 |
| Manz 2SD Gapz | TMUS | Long | 221.42 | 220.80 | 222.17 | 222.17 | 0.75 |
| Manz 2SD Gapz | WLY | Short | 40.23 | 40.75 | 39.57 | 39.57 | 0.66 |
| Total Per Share Traded | 3.78 | ||||||
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